Saturday, February 19, 2011

On the Poor Use of Statistics

Newsmax.com reports: FBI: 100 Percent Chance of WMD Attack.

The probability that the U.S. will be hit with a weapons of mass destruction attack at some point is 100 percent, Dr. Vahid Majidi, the FBI’s assistant director in charge of the FBI’s Weapons of Mass Destruction Directorate, tells Newsmax.

Sorry, this is bollocky pseudo-science amd bogus statistics at its very best.

The probability that all us will be dead "at some point" is also 100%, and hence it's not a very interesting statistic.

What matters is what is the probability of you, the reader, dying within one year, five years, ten years, etc. is.

This is a totally lame effort to sound scientific when in fact there is absolutely no reasoning or science involved.

One should stick a fork in the eye of the bitch just on general principle. All he's doing is justifying his job at the taxpayer's expense.

Now, that you can be sure of has 100% probability!